Amid volatility in stocks and bonds, institutional and individual investors might seek diversification in the growing private equity secondaries market.
Many institutional and individual investors are weighing how inflation and hawkish central bank policy will affect corporate earnings, economic growth and the returns from their stock and bond holdings. In this environment, they may want to consider how alternative investments, such as private equity assets, can help diversify their portfolios and offer potential income generation with low correlation to public markets. Although private equity investments often demand significant capital, there are still ways for individual investors to get exposure to the market through registered offerings.
Secondary funds, commonly referred to as secondaries or continuation transactions, purchase existing interests or assets from primary private equity fund investors. For example, a primary private equity fund may purchase a stake in a private company, and then sell that interest to a secondary buyer. Sellers gain liquidity, while buyers may find the portfolio claim or asset(s) attractive for a number of reasons.
The total secondaries market volume grew to a record $134 billion in 2021.1 Against the current backdrop of volatility in stocks and bonds, Nash Waterman, Portfolio Manager and Head of Private Markets Secondaries at Morgan Stanley Investment Management, discusses opportunities in secondaries and why they may be attractive in a down cycle and beyond.
By investing in companies that provide essential products and services for stable end markets and resilient businesses with track records of success, investors may better mitigate exposure to volatility.
Waterman: Private equity secondaries refer to transactions in which an investor is buying an existing interest or asset from primary private equity fund investors, known as limited partners (LPs). These transactions can be structured in a number of different ways based on the needs of the stakeholders involved. Secondaries have become an increasingly appealing segment of the private equity market, as they allow flexibility for LPs who may want to liquidate or rebalance a portfolio. Buyers of secondaries, meanwhile, may benefit from shorter duration and faster return of capital, potentially discounted access and enhanced transparency into the underlying portfolio or assets.
By investing in companies that provide essential products and services for stable end markets and resilient businesses with track records of success, investors may better mitigate exposure to volatility in any market environment. In our portfolio, we invest in general partner-led, single-asset secondaries. We typically target investments with track records beyond three years, as this initial period is considered the riskiest stage for private equity investment.
Waterman: In a LP-led transaction, a limited partner sells its commitment in a fund to a secondary buyer, who then takes on the rights and obligations of that LP in the existing fund. In a GP-led transaction, specifically a GP-led single-asset continuation transaction, an asset or portfolio company is transferred from one vehicle to another vehicle, which can offer access to both additional capital and additional time to execute a value-creation plan.
Waterman: Within GP-led secondaries, the single-asset model now stands as a functionally distinct segment, and single-asset transactions are the fastest-growing area within secondaries. GP-led single-asset secondaries can offer attractive benefits in all market conditions because of the flexibility for GPs to hold their most promising assets longer and the possibility of added exit options.
Unlike traditional LP-led transactions, where secondaries investments involve exposure to multiple assets at the portfolio level, single-asset secondaries may help mitigate unwanted broader portfolio risk. Often, single-asset deals can unlock potential value that would otherwise be sacrificed due to a lack of additional funding or a premature exit driven by forces extraneous to that particular asset.
Relative to other segments of the secondaries market, single-asset deals stand out for their return potential. According to recent research, nearly 62% of secondaries investors are targeting net internal rates of return of 20% or more in single-asset secondaries.2 In comparison, return thresholds for the multi-asset GP- and LP-led segments are much lower, with only 40% and 16% of investors targeting returns as high as 20% or more, respectively.
Waterman: While the current macroeconomic environment has become more challenging, economic headwinds are not necessarily acting as an impediment to deal activity for continuation transactions. That’s especially true for GP-led deals, specifically single-asset transactions, as I mentioned. GPs’ reluctance to divest prized blue-chip assets at a time when comparable businesses remain in a trough make continuation funds particularly attractive, as they are set up to acquire assets from private equity funds nearing the end of their lifespans, and allow GPs to hold on to their best-performing assets. We continue to see high-performing, low-leverage and resilient PE-owned businesses that, in our view, have the potential to outperform and capitalise on opportunities, even in a down cycle. For example, buy-and-build businesses such as retail chains or health service providers with sufficient capital can act as consolidators; they purchase attractively priced add-on businesses to capture synergies, while bringing down average acquisition costs.
We’re seeing the impact of this opportunity. Deal volume in the GP-led secondary market reached $68 billion globally in 2021, about half of the overall secondaries market, and an almost 100% increase from the year prior. 3 About 44% of GP-led secondaries were invested in single-asset continuation funds in 2021, as investors gravitated toward highly concentrated exposure to managers and portfolio companies they know and see as top performers.4
Q: What are the risks and other considerations that private equity secondaries investors should account for?
Waterman: The intricacies involved in sourcing, undertaking due diligence and executing on single-asset secondaries explain precisely why investors can earn a complexity premium in the space.
We built a dedicated sourcing subgroup focused exclusively on deal origination. Our team members meet regularly with GPs to develop networks that will sustain a proprietary pipeline of high-quality opportunities. Due diligence entails deep work in analysing financial statements, understanding end markets and assessing the quality of earnings reports. We commission market studies and speak with customers, suppliers and industry experts to gain a real insight into the fundamentals of a given asset.
Single-asset transactions involve an incredibly complex negotiation process that can take three to six months to conclude with a wide array of stakeholders. Success requires a specialised skillset to navigate potential conflicts, as transactions can include the GPs, rolling LP investors, selling LP investors as well as the new buyer group. The resource-intensive nature of this space creates barriers to entry that preclude investor ‘tourism’. Investors should seek a dedicated and expert team experienced in single-asset dealcraft that can achieve success in the GP-led single asset space.